ArticlesBlog Predicting the Winning Team with Machine Learning August 28, 2019100 Related posts: Badminton Intensive and Advanced Movement Training (2) 2018 IGHSAU Iowa Farm Bureau Girls State Volleyball Championships 5A IGHSAU Iowa Farm Bureau Girls State Volleyball Championships How to Draft Your Fantasy Football Team Related tags : and big data coding data science deep learning football how to predict football matches machine learning betting machine learning football machine learning football prediction machine learning prediction machine learning soccer neural network football predicting football matches predicting the winning team with machine learning programming Scikit Learn soccer machine learning sports sports analytics sports prediction sports prediction machine learning that the Post navigation Previous Article Zlatan Ibrahimović on Playing for LA Galaxy, His Nicknames & The World Cup Next Article India vs England- Live Cricket Match June 30 2019 Comments (100) December 4, 2017 at 12:37 am Hey does anyone know how the prediction function works as siraj did in 2:12 , and why did he use XGDB Reply December 5, 2017 at 3:12 pm do more of this Siraj Reply December 5, 2017 at 3:13 pm do more of this Siraj Reply December 10, 2017 at 9:51 pm Siraj, SVM tries to MAXimize the margin between hyperplane and closest points of different classes – not "MINinize" as you said. It was correctly written on your slide but you said the opposite. (22:53–23:15). Thank you for the video anyway. Very usefull. Reply December 28, 2017 at 10:03 am Nice tutorial indeed. very informative. What software do you use for making the video siraj? If i may know Reply January 9, 2018 at 9:14 pm But can it do it on a rainy day in stoke? Reply January 11, 2018 at 7:03 pm any wins?! Reply January 20, 2018 at 11:50 am This video is so informative, I hope you can make more videos like this. Reply January 28, 2018 at 8:46 am GET RID OF YOUR DEBTS TODAY,* PAY YOUR HOUSE RENT,* SETTLE YOUR CHILDRENS SCHOOL FEES,* CHANGE YOU SHOP,* GET NEW CAR/JEEP,* COMPLETE YOUR BUILDING PROJECT,* GET YOURSELF A PLOT OF LAND AND ETC » YOU CAN'T SETTLE ALL THIS ABOVE WITH YOUR LITTLE INCOME AT ONCE. WE ARE READY TO TAKE YOU TO THE NEXT LEVEL TODAY WITH OUR SPECIAL AFFIXED MATCHES OF 250ODDS. 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Reply February 14, 2018 at 3:45 pm All the datasets.https://github.com/RudrakshTuwani/Football-Data-Analysis-and-Prediction/blob/master/Datasets/final_dataset.csv Reply February 18, 2018 at 6:28 pm I'm trying to build the same for a tennis game from where I can get the relevant data ? Thankyou. Reply February 21, 2018 at 12:01 pm Hi Siraj, Can you please do a video on choosing the correct predictive algorithm/ model based on our data and other factors please? I guess it will be helpfull for many Reply February 24, 2018 at 12:13 pm please am a newbie how do i create this with my excel and start wining to. i dont have any formular to input or how to start can someone help me? Reply February 24, 2018 at 12:15 pm or if possible send me the file for me to download please friends Reply March 2, 2018 at 7:48 pm not sure where he gets EPLStandings.csv from Reply March 9, 2018 at 6:16 am Why do u have 5600 matches in the file while I download the file from football-data-co.uk and only have 290 matches? My file seems to be missing a lot of content…… Reply March 13, 2018 at 12:43 pm I am coming across many errors plus there are no features such as HTGD,ATGD,HTP,ATP,DiffLP Reply March 13, 2018 at 11:47 pm Guys I swear I just got free $5641_real money from this_amazing website>>>>freepplmoney.win/?iX0zEg Try once. Reply March 17, 2018 at 3:28 am This was Awesome. Can you make one using Deep Learning ? Will be really helpful. Reply March 25, 2018 at 9:39 am For all of you that can't find the right data file, here it is:https://github.com/RudrakshTuwani/Football-Data-Analysis-and-Prediction/blob/master/Datasets/final_dataset.csv Reply March 31, 2018 at 10:09 am absolutely love your lecs but please minimise the talking.. and focus more on the topic practically!! thanks Reply March 31, 2018 at 9:47 pm When you will make video on Indian election Prediction using neural network Reply March 31, 2018 at 10:26 pm is there a way to train the model on the full data set, with variables that we could only know for a past game, and then predict off the model using only known variables for a future game? Reply April 1, 2018 at 12:30 am it looks like he has a peacock sitting on his hea Reply April 3, 2018 at 1:50 am Hey Siraj love your stuff, but either some of your coding seems to be wrong (or some has been deprecated). Without first converting the Date column to a datetime64 from an object, the Preprocess_Features function creates the Date column into individual dummy variable. This problem occurs to other columns too; HomeTeam and AwayTeam, for instance, is another object columns that goes into the dummies function. I've also noticed that the function cannot filter correctly, such as the HTForm column. I think you should add a drop function in the for loop to manually get rid of particular columns you don't want. Otherwise, you'll end up with over 700 columns through the get_dummies. Reply April 13, 2018 at 9:03 am so, can I use the model built ti predict a match if those two teams have never played each other again? Reply May 4, 2018 at 7:02 pm Great video..been working on various football models, you learn the thing is to try and optimize the model to specific niche not seen by the bookie. The goal is to beat the odds, not just correct predictions. Say you predict 80% chance for a team to win,bookies know this too and reflect it in their odds plus sum vig. It seems easy but not quite Reply May 5, 2018 at 3:33 am This video is just awesome, I don't know what else I should say about it 😜 Reply May 5, 2018 at 10:00 am where i can find newest dataset for Champion league football 2018? Reply May 8, 2018 at 9:08 am Hey Siraj, they https://betmagician.com/ stole your idea and now making millions! I am also going to steal your idea and do it for tennis! Reply May 11, 2018 at 5:30 am Is this really possible ? Reply May 12, 2018 at 5:45 pm Has anyone succeeded? [email protected] Reply May 12, 2018 at 7:09 pm there is nothing similar in Italy ? Reply May 12, 2018 at 7:31 pm there is no dataset for Italian matches? Reply May 13, 2018 at 12:42 pm this was brilliant! can you do an advanced video for this topic ? Reply May 17, 2018 at 1:25 pm my predict for J league which using the same xgboost model only has accuracy 0.45….. Reply May 21, 2018 at 9:12 am Where do i get the same dataset ? Because my dataset dont have ['HTGD','ATGD','HTP','ATP','DiffLP'] and i have a lot more features then 12 Reply May 28, 2018 at 8:07 am You should try Harrogate towns food Reply June 4, 2018 at 9:13 am it is hard for me to predict which one will win or lose .but your video helped me i was following https://bit.l y/2J7M2vp Reply June 6, 2018 at 3:19 am Hey siraj, can I use this as my machine learning project ? Reply June 12, 2018 at 10:27 am Can i do this in azure machine learning? Reply June 15, 2018 at 4:21 pm Please also use R in some of the videos… Reply June 19, 2018 at 11:02 pm No ML algorithm in the world is or will be able to predict stochastic processes such as soccer or the stock market. Reply June 21, 2018 at 12:12 am Your training data includes how many goals each team scored. That's clearly data leakage. If you would know how many goals each team will score, you don't need a machine learning model to tell the result. 28:43 Here you can see that the data includes Home Team Goals and Away Team Goals (FTHG, FTAG) Reply June 21, 2018 at 12:42 pm Andrew Groll and his colleagues at the Technical University of Dortmund have paired machine learning and statistical data methods at arriving at the most likely winner of the 2018 FIFA World Cup. Knonw more – http://www.estufs.com/fifa-world-cup-2018-winner-predicts-machine-learning/ Reply June 29, 2018 at 4:57 am Love the videos, Siraj! I'm hoping this comment will get a couple of likes so that it gets noticed, but I also noticed that someone else had the same issue. Trying to run Scraping and Cleaning in Jupyter, I get the following error: NameError Traceback (most recent call last)<ipython-input-9-e208d65ce9b6> in <module>()—-> 1 playing_stat = pd.concat([playing_statistics_1, 2 playing_statistics_2, 3 playing_statistics_3, 4 playing_statistics_4, 5 playing_statistics_5, NameError: name 'playing_statistics_1' is not defined …Would anyone be able shed some light on why I'm getting this? I'm running Windows 10, but something must be off with the playing_stat variable under the FINAL DATAFRAME section. Any ideas? Thanks! Reply June 30, 2018 at 10:22 am How is the F1 score and accuracy score higher for the test set compared to the training set in all the 3 classifiers A, B and C? Reply July 19, 2018 at 10:59 pm Okay 1 question though, we say that xg boost has the best accuracy. But what is accuracy here, i mean how does the system determine if the result is accurate or no? Reply July 28, 2018 at 10:57 am Does anyone have a copy of the EPLStandings.csv & the final_dataset.csv? When I go through the Scraping and Cleaning.ipynb, I get so many errors and my Python skills are not really good enough yet to cure them, that I have almost given up Reply August 15, 2018 at 6:33 am Your model shouldn’t just be better than just random chance to bet. You should compare it to the bookmakers odds. I bet if you always take the bookmakers favorite you’d get at least 75% correct. Furthermore there are multiple statistical mistakes in this video. Reply August 17, 2018 at 1:28 am Great video. For the next update you can replace 1 X 2 model to handicaping. I think this is the more popular way of betting. Reply August 23, 2018 at 4:59 am Great content as always. Thank you!! Would love too see more soccer ml takes. Reply August 25, 2018 at 6:07 pm Where does the set EPLStandings.csv come from? Reply September 9, 2018 at 7:39 am There are not data enough to achieve that a machine learns something about football. When you know the nature of the game, the nature of football, you don't need any date but watching the match for e few minutes. It's like chess: a master chess just needs a simple view of a chess game to know who is winning. No data, no computer, no algorithms, but just a simple view over the green to process what is happening in the match. S2. Reply October 6, 2018 at 1:49 am I downloaded the dataset from the website but there are some columns which are missing for example half time goal difference Reply October 13, 2018 at 10:51 am I want to ask, you're using python right? Where can we get those libraries you are importing? Reply October 13, 2018 at 10:52 am I couldn't see where you were typing around 15:00 Reply October 20, 2018 at 11:51 am @Igor agree with you. Along with this, there is problem of Data Leaking. Before match does start, how can one know no. of corner kicks, on shots, red cards etc. Very popular data mining problem.Great video otherwise BTW @Siraj Raval.Love from India 🙂 Reply November 4, 2018 at 5:50 pm If you want to make money with such an approach it would be better to build a model that outputs the probability of each outcome such that you can calculate whether you're going to win against a bookmaker. It's often better to bet on the draw or the underdog because the odds are better. Reply November 14, 2018 at 1:30 am hey ,if anyone else wants to discover soccer scores predictions try Jadonite Top Sports Buddy (Have a quick look on google cant remember the place now ) ? Ive heard some unbelievable things about it and my brother in law got cool results with it. Reply November 15, 2018 at 1:04 am You talk too much Reply November 16, 2018 at 1:49 pm Do you have a site for current future predictions mate? Id like to try out you're method if possible. Im not this adequate in computer programming. Give me a bell if you can brother. Reply December 13, 2018 at 12:24 pm Hello Mr Siraj Raval, i have been following your videos on machine learning and was wondering if you can help me? I am from Nigeria and here we don,t have much of Data Scientists or Machine AI expert. My company have been looking for a very good and experience Analyst that can give us a Model that will predict football outcome, i.e. HALFTIME/FULLTIME results that are either AWAYWIN/HOMEWIN or HOMEWIN/AWAYWIN. We also have other areas like Stocks, Business Input/Output, and much more. Can you recommend or connect me to anyone that can be perfect for this Job. Salary is very big and will keep increasing for as long as the analysis is on-point. Expecting to hear from you soonest… Reply December 24, 2018 at 8:33 pm This is great. Am now fully committed to learn machine learning next year! thanks for the great work Suraj!🙌👌✔ Reply December 30, 2018 at 1:54 pm Please make more videos on this topic Sir! 🙂 Reply January 7, 2019 at 12:03 am Amazing, you are a genious Siraj, What if you have a system to capture cast data before the game starts, so know if any important player will play what can affect the outcome. Reply January 16, 2019 at 10:18 am This video increased my interest in machine learning Reply January 27, 2019 at 10:57 am He sounds such a bellend even talking about football Reply February 26, 2019 at 12:55 pm will you make a data prediction on this file https://drive.google.com/open?id=1JsiNp8Du6WIrrnoSsflKqUxJkLTV9KPR Reply February 28, 2019 at 3:53 am haha so basically it will work if I use the right numbers? Reply March 1, 2019 at 12:16 pm #Deflategate #IsisKDaesh Reply March 2, 2019 at 6:04 am can you please, upload the video showing overall process of creating models of various variables choosing anyone prediction algorithm sir!!! Reply March 2, 2019 at 9:35 am WARNINGWill not get rich with that. This is exactly what bookmakers do. It's easy to predict which team is the most likely to win Reply March 10, 2019 at 11:08 am Is any one there to help in r programming to calculate the statistics analysis! Reply March 22, 2019 at 9:39 am what type of software should i use to code for machine learning ? Reply March 24, 2019 at 8:46 pm I have access to an algorithm that is 70.5% accurate across multiple sports, stocks, in fact any future event. Reply March 25, 2019 at 8:28 pm hello suraj, im working on the same project which is been shown by you in this tutorial, but i m confused with data cleaning, the video shows you just started with jupirter and then some commands and boom, you just got the required results. But how to do this ? will you elaborate the procedure for this please, would be really glad to know. Reply April 2, 2019 at 5:09 pm Great video but i'm still not clear on what could be some good features. Reply April 8, 2019 at 5:48 am From where did you get the trained data set Reply April 12, 2019 at 9:16 pm thoroughbreds pls [horses] Reply April 18, 2019 at 8:45 am Am doing this as mini project. Do you have source code for this Reply April 20, 2019 at 5:57 am Hello Siraj! I second Igor's opinion about splitting the data according to time and not randomly. Having said that, I thoroughly enjoyed this video. I would love to see another video on the same topic which includes sentiment analysis from twitter feeds as well on top of the baseline models. Perhaps we can use LSTM with a time distributed dense layer to capture the time information? Reply April 20, 2019 at 2:21 pm Thumbs up if you guys want a part 2 of this video (using deep learning + twitter sentiments)! Reply April 24, 2019 at 6:11 am How this trained data can predict a team….it is just a upto fit the data and showing accuracy…nothing predicting Reply April 24, 2019 at 7:44 am where dataset ? Reply May 12, 2019 at 2:47 pm Hi Siraj, could you explain a bit, what "Difference in last years prediction" is and how do you calculate it? Reply May 23, 2019 at 11:25 am AWESOMENESS SHOULD BE YOUR NAME Reply June 9, 2019 at 5:35 am Where did you get these variables: 'HTGD', 'ATGD', 'HTP', 'ATP', 'DiffFormPTS', 'DiffLP'? They are not in the csv file. Reply June 9, 2019 at 9:25 am no ones can predicted soccer games Reply July 12, 2019 at 12:02 pm i want to talk to you for my project Reply July 15, 2019 at 7:39 pm can i get link for the dataset Reply July 18, 2019 at 8:01 am Sports are fake and scripted you can't beat the bookies they already know who will win they only want to lure you to the losing side, is impossible to win with machine learning for sports is a waste of time. All the numbers you see the line the money is fake you need inside info like billy walters is the only way. Reply July 29, 2019 at 4:55 am so i copy this code edit it a little and start gambling. Then me run to the bank.. Reply August 15, 2019 at 8:20 pm Abey chutad, in the whole program its 'X_test' and not 'x_test'. Yet youre able to run this program. WTF?Also, you fuckin idiot, dont you know how to input a row data? I'll tell you, you use a method called .iloc()! My problem isnt that youre a stupid piece of shit. My problem is how the fuck are you running wrong code dude?! Reply August 18, 2019 at 4:42 pm Does it give VALUE BET ??? Reply August 22, 2019 at 10:43 am Beating the bookmaker will take you more than that : )) 75 accuracy ? ok what about the odds lol the only guy who did it using ML : https://youtu.be/2BhWvdIHQYM Reply Comment here Cancel reply Comment Name * Email * Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment.